Reproduction? I don\'t think so!

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It is estimated that there is around 7 billion people currently on the earth as per 2011. This total, a mere 50 years ago was less than half of the current global population at a far more comfortable 3 billion and prior to that in 1927 the population was a mere 2 billion. As time has progressed, this number has steadily increased due both to the increase in medical advances as well the exponential growth pattern. In a total of 84 years we have managed to more than triple the global population. The increase in population in combination with an increased thirst for energy has resulted in a vast increase in the consumption of natural resources.



According to studies and predictions performed by the UN in the early 90s, by the year 2150, the population would be at an utterly staggering and unsustainable 694 billion. And by 2250 you ask? Over 30 trillion. This would mean that there would be over 200 people for every acre of land, including the oceans. Now I ask you to take a second to think about that. You may argue that 2150 is a long time away, but your your grandchildren's grandchildren may well be alive in these times.



As it stands oil production algorithmic models are showing we are currently positioned on the top of a roller coaster, looking down upon what is potentially the scariest ride we've ever taken. These models are almost unanimous in predicting a sharp and dramatic decline in oil production within the next 10 years. It is important to consider that once the decline starts, there is unlikely to be any noticeable changes in the flow of the progression, it will likely be one way traffic.


Image [ a4.sphotos.ak.fbcdn.net/hphoto… ]


One could argue that we are already feeling the effects of the peak oil situation with ever rising petrol costs. These will likely further increase, also in terms of exponential growth. This will mean that as oil resources decline, the demand for it will increase and prices will likely reach figures where oil becomes a commodity reserved for only the richest citizens.



With the increase in oil and petrol costs will also come an increase in food costs and basic service delivery. The price of food is typically dictated by the basic economic state, the state of the farming and the cost of petrol. Increased petrol and oil costs create an increase in costs in basic farming procedures and the transporting of foods and goods.



Public transport and even global transport will be changed from what we know today. The consumption of fuel by aviation is great and with the decline of oil production aviation as a means of transport may become a thing of the past. Naturally with these issues will come a large increase in import taxes for all countries, as well as the potential for the complete end to trade via aviation, fire fighting will become more of a difficulty, basic public services will also struggle to exist.



For more detail on the effects of the oil decline in relation to aviation,  recommend the following thesis: www.tsl.uu.se/uhdsg/Publicatio…



It is possible to argue that these can be overcome with fuel alternatives, but fact of the matter is we have been working on alternatives for decades now and yet apart from the faux-environmentally-conscious people deciding to drive a Prius, there are no real advances in this area. If we were able to create a viable fuel alternative for motor vehicles, this still wouldn't solve the problem of aviation.





Food and Water



Naturally as the population increases we will require a larger output of food and fresh water. Already with the 7 billion people we have on earth we are struggling to produce enough food in areas. Farming is often something that is restricted by climate and as such it will be concentrated in areas. As time goes by and the population expands, the mere availability of residential areas will expand to points where we are consuming much of what would have been farming land, merely to live.



Studies recently performed by the UNU suggested that in a mere 24 years from now,  Africa as a continent may be able to only feed 25% of its population.



Numerous renowned and well respected studies have shown that fresh water is already on an alarming decrease and is only expected to become further threatening as time goes by and the population increases. If we had to continue with the same methods we use today for the capture and distribution of fresh water, it would be a mere few decades before we faced an extreme, global water crisis.



It is estimated that there is around 7 billion people currently on the earth as per 2011. This total, a mere 50 years ago was less than half of the current global population at a far more comfortable 3 billion and prior to that in 1927 the population was a mere 2 billion. As time has progressed, this number has steadily increased due both to the increase in medical advances as well the exponential growth pattern. In a total of 84 years we have managed to more than triple the global population. The increase in population in combination with an increased thirst for energy has resulted in a vast increase in the consumption of natural resources.





According to studies and predictions performed by the UN in the early 90s, by the year 2150, the population would be at an utterly staggering and unsustainable 694 billion. And by 2250 you ask? Over 30 trillion. This would mean that there would be over 200 people for every acre of land, including the oceans. Now I ask you to take a second to think about that. You may argue that 2150 is a long time away, but your your grandchildren's grandchildren may well be alive in these times.





As it stands oil production algorithmic models are showing we are currently positioned on the top of a roller coaster, looking down upon what is potentially the scariest ride we've ever taken. These models are almost unanimous in predicting a sharp and dramatic decline in oil production within the next 10 years. It is important to consider that once the decline starts, there is unlikely to be any noticeable changes in the flow of the progression, it will likely be one way traffic.





One could argue that we are already feeling the effects of the peak oil situation with ever rising petrol costs. These will likely further increase, also in terms of exponential growth. This will mean that as oil resources decline, the demand for it will increase and prices will likely reach figures where oil becomes a commodity reserved for only the richest citizens.



With the increase in oil and petrol costs will also come an increase in food costs and basic service delivery. The price of food is typically dictated by the basic economic state, the state of the farming and the cost of petrol. Increased petrol and oil costs create an increase in costs in basic farming procedures and the transporting of foods and goods.



Public transport and even global transport will be changed from what we know today. The consumption of fuel by aviation is great and with the decline of oil production aviation as a means of transport may become a thing of the past. Naturally with these issues will come a large increase in import taxes for all countries, as well as the potential for the complete end to trade via aviation, fire fighting will become more of a difficulty, basic public services will also struggle to exist.



For more detail on the effects of the oil decline in relation to aviation,  recommend the following thesis: www.tsl.uu.se/uhdsg/Publicatio…



It is possible to argue that these can be overcome with fuel alternatives, but fact of the matter is we have been working on alternatives for decades now and yet apart from the faux-environmentally-conscious people deciding to drive a Prius, there are no real advances in this area. If we were able to create a viable fuel alternative for motor vehicles, this still wouldn't solve the problem of aviation.





Food and Water



Naturally as the population increases we will require a larger output of food and fresh water. Already with the 7 billion people we have on earth we are struggling to produce enough food in areas. Farming is often something that is restricted by climate and as such it will be concentrated in areas. As time goes by and the population expands, the mere availability of residential areas will expand to points where we are consuming much of what would have been farming land, merely to live.



While there are some who suggest that the earth can sustain a much larger population in regards to food, this fails to take into account the worry of the decreased oil production and the fact that much of the global food sources being imported, for example a mere 6 countries supply 90% of the world's grain exports.



Studies recently performed by the UNU suggested that in a mere 24 years from now,  Africa as a continent may be able to only feed 25% of its population.



Numerous renowned and well respected studies have shown that fresh water is already on an alarming decrease and is only expected to become further threatening as time goes by and the population increases. If we had to continue with the same methods we use today for the capture and distribution of fresh water, in the next few decades we would experience an extreme global water crisis.





Nature



With the increase in human population comes the need to expand our areas of residence, this is not a theory but already history, though one can extrapolate this trend going forward and understand the fact of the matter.



As we as humans have expanded in terms of population numbers, we have taken other species with us. For example, we have moved into areas which were inhabited by species which can survive solely in that location, yet we have been willing to let them become extinct in the process of fueling our selfish and arrogant desires.



Animals which were once endemic to an area are seen as pests because they interfere with the residents now living there. Foxes are seen as trouble makers because they are looking for food in areas which were once their home. We seek, we destroy and we claim ownership of the area and say that any other species is less important than the growth of mankind.



Over the past 20 years there have been 15 species which have gone extinct, and extinction rates are between 100 to 1,000 times higher than natural rates found in fossil records. It's no secret that we're killing off species so that we may continue to spread our hand of destruction across the planet.



If you don't like numbers, go have a look for yourself. Go for a walk or a drive outside and look at the complexes you see, then think back to what that area was like 10 years ago. Chances are that these areas were open fields, hosting animal life, whether they be some birds nests, some bugs or even reptile. With time their habitats were destroyed so that we could expand.


Image - [ a1.sphotos.ak.fbcdn.net/hphoto… ]


The rate of species decline is unprecedented and sadly people seem to just shrug their shoulders at the wild life and conservation efforts trying to raise awareness on the topic. Call me crazy, but I'd far prefer to be in a world with sustained wild life than a world where humans occupy every square inch.



I find it highly ironic how when an animal becomes over populated or even shows signs of becoming over populated they are culled and their population is trimmed back for 'the good of nature', and yet we take it upon ourselves to breed and breed, far worse than any rabbit, and yet we celebrate the destruction we cause because of the selfish joy of having a child.



Breeding



Because of all the above, I refuse to support human reproduction. And this pisses people off, and it amazes me why it would. Why do you feel the need to pro-create, yes - it's the natural thing to do and every species aims to do the same thing. But why is it understandably wrong or dangerous when rabbits breed too much but it's some kind of miracle when humans do it?



We are smarter than other animals, we have the ability to look at and consider the facts which I have shown above when deciding what is right and what is the logical thing to do.



Fact of the matter though is that people just don't care. They could read this, understand the risks, understand the destruction they're causing, understand the suffering they're likely to send their offspring into, and yet they will gladly ignore these for the thumbs up from society for being another successful parent. The whole difficult task of making a child, what a beautiful miracle...



If you have a child I`m not going to spend my life trying to murder it, but sometimes bad luck just takes place. But to actively seek out to have children, having read what I have written, you have to either be arrogant, selfish, ignorant or a combination of all the above. If you want a child, go adopt one. They're already here, and you're not proving anything to anyone by showing your seed is capable of fertilization.



Retorts



There would no doubt be people thinking that I am wrong, even though I have posted a majority of well established studies and mathematical predictions, so let me play psychic to address these issues before they come up:



1.) Q: What if we manage to find another planet to live on, it won't be so bad.

     A: No, it won't. Until humans then destroy that planet too, people don't seem to get it and while it's a cliche phrase it's an accurate analogy - humans are like a virus. We will destroy whatever resource we come across and suck them dry.



2.) Q: What if we came up for a substitute for oil and fuel?

      A: That would help one small aspect of the problem, yes. But it would be a problem that was related more to humans way of living than anything else and would fail to address the negative impacts of over-population in regards to nature and the destruction thereof.



3.) Q: People should be allowed to give birth free from ridicule, it's their choice.

      A: It is their choice, but when their choice has a negative impact on the whole of the world it becomes far more than just a personal decision someone makes. You can destroy a hospital, it was your choice but you'd not only be the one suffering from your choice and it'd be a selfish choice.



I may have missed some things and even gotten sloppy towards the end, I'm getting quite tired and I spent nearly 90 minutes straight writing this. And while I don't expect people to listen, since they're too hard headed and stuff on what society has told them is correct (giving birth to millions of little miracle babies) these are the facts.
© 2011 - 2024 B4ndAi
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Aleke's avatar
Don't worry, Everything will balance itself and the population increase will be managed in a matter of years. How so? It's very simple: WAR.
When there will be too many people on this planet, they will just kill eachother with all the advanced weapons the human mind created until there is like half a billion left. that is if they survive the nuclear winter.